Election Eve!
http://www.electionprojection.com/elections
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
Two different websites, two different predictions. No one knows whats going to happen. Rush Limbaugh says no one ever thinks their team is going to win since we tend to believe the negative. So chin up all!
Here's my thinking. Florida & Ohio, Pennsylvania. Those three places choose the next prez. Who ever takes two of them at least takes the White House. Bush should take Florida, Kerry probably Penn. Ohio has had a miserable economy, but I think the Bin Laden tape, where he threatens us if we vote for Bush, should tip the proud state of Ohio over to Bush, that is if the liberal media report the issue.
If Jersey starts tilting Bush again, that news will roll momentum in Bushies favor. If conservatives stay home, since Bush isn't their favorite guy, we're doomed. If Nader fails to get 1 or 2 percent in Florida, we're in trouble too. News of the winners of the east coast states will rush across the country and impact places like HI, Colorodo, and New Mexico. Whoever wins out East will depress the opposition in those places, so I don't think there will be a big legal battle like in 2000.
My only wish is that George would have been more conservative. He lost a lot of the support of Libertarians and economic conservatives, and , like the Dems' Nader, if GOP loses 2 percent it loses the country.
I take all of this as good news. Elections have never been more popular, as when I grew up all big media talked about how boring the election days were, and infamously low voter turn out. Now we don't have that problem. Lets just hope the lawyers don't have anything to do Wednesday, either way this goes. If, God forbid, Kerry wins, I'll be very interested to see how Bin Laden reacts. I'm sure they will be cheering in the socialist Europe, and on the Muslim street. Then in a few years, after Al Queda rebuilds, we'll see what happens. By that time Kerry will have spent all our money on health care, the top tax rate will be over 50%, and the government will be the Nanny State. All your needs taken care of, cradle to grave.
If Bush wins, I expect even more exciting stuff to come out of the War. Freed of political baggage, I expect new offensives in Iraq, and with a new verdict from the American people, a stiff resolve to fix this Middle East mess once and for all. I expect spending to be curbed, again since he doesn't need the votes, and I even think France and Germany will cave and congratulate the newest 2-term president. Arafat will probably kick off, which is good, and we'll catch OBL finally.
Here is the list of two-term presidents:
George Washington: 1789, 1792
Thomas Jefferson: 1800, 1804
James Madison: 1808, 1812
James Monroe: 1816, 1920
Andrew Jackson: 1828, 1832
Abraham Lincoln: 1860, 1864
Ulysses Grant: 1868, 1872
Grover Cleveland: 1884, 1892
William McKinley: 1896, 1900
Woodrow Wilson: 1912, 1916
Dwight Eisenhower: 1952, 1956
Richard Nixon: 1968, 1972
Ronald Reagan: 1980, 1984
Bill Clinton: 1992, 1996
This is, with a few exceptions, a pretty noble list of men, representing only 25% of the men who served the office.
Did Bush do well enough to be included with Ronald Reagan and Abe Lincoln? Initial blush would be no, but recall that Abe Lincoln's war was hotly contested at the time, and more Americans died in the civil war than any other war. Was it a failure? Only the most strict constitutionalists would say Abe Lincoln was bad for the country. Hard times makes people ancy for change, I'm sure that is what drives much of the Dems these days.
Kerry will do what Liberals do in office. Spend money, make friends abroad, spend more money. Will the world like us again? Will they ask us to the Prom??
We can't dance if we're not standing. Go W!


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